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    2.  首页 股票学校 股票入门 选股 买入 看盘 跟庄 短线 炒股技巧 技术指标 k线图 MACD 均线 成交量 股票书籍 股票视频 网站导航

      767股票学习网 > 股票学校 > 股票投资策略 > 正文

      牛市和熊市投资策略

        牛市投资策略

        牛市是指股市行情看涨、交易活跃、前景光明。道·琼斯根据美国股市的经验数据,总结出牛市和熊市的不同市场特征,认为牛市和熊市可以各自分为三个不同期间。

        牛市第一期。往往是在市场最悲观的情况下出现的。大部分投资者对市场心灰意冷,即使市场出现好消息也无动于衷,很多人开始不计成本地抛出所有的股票。有远见的投资者则通过对各类经济指标和形势的分析,预期市场情况即将发生变化,开始逐步选择优质股买入。市场成交逐渐出现微量回升,经过一段时间后,许多股票已从盲目抛售者手中流到理性投资者手中。市场在回升过程中偶有回落,但每一次回落的低点都比上一次高,于是吸引新的投资者入市,整个市场交投开始活跃。

        牛市第二期。这时股市状况明显好转。由于熊市的惨跌使投资者心有余悸,因此市场出现一种非升非跌的僵持局面,但总的来说大市基调良好,股价力图上升。这段时间可维持数月甚至超过一年,主要视上次熊市造成的心理打击的严重程度而定。

        牛市第三期。经过一段时间的徘徊后,股市成交量不断增加,越来越多的投资者进入市场。大市的每次回落不但不会使投资人退出市场,反而吸引更多的投资者加入。市场情绪高涨,充满乐观气氛。此外,公司利好的新闻也不断传出,例如盈利倍增、收购合并等。上市公司也趁机大举集资,或送红股或将股票拆细,以吸引中小投资者。在这一阶段的末期,市场投机气氛极浓,即使出现坏消息也会被作为投机热点炒作,变为利好消息。当这种情况达到某个极点时,市场就会出现转折。

        在牛市中,投资者可以运用以下策略进行投资:

        1.买套

        由于在牛市股价上升的过程中会不断调整,因此在回调时主动买套不失为一种获利的重要投资方法。这是因为在下跌时,主动买套既可以避免在上升时买进的风险,又为以后上涨腾出了较大的上升空间。在一轮多头市场中,总是会不断创出新高,每次回调都是一次机会。所以回调时应该敢于买套,在牛市时主动买套只是暂时的,往往只是短暂的套牢,只需要短暂的等待。由于回调时间短,回调幅度小,所以投资者要果断买进,敢于被套。

        2.追涨

        追涨就是当股价上涨时买进,这样的买入价通常为股票的较高价。一般情况下,当市场呈强势时,往往会出现某一板块或某一品种成为市场的“领头羊”,而这种“领头羊”的作用常常是具有某种题材和某些概念支持,使这一板块或品种具有较大的上升空间。此时,某些敏锐的投资者看到了这一板块或品种的前景,出现首次跳空高开高走的局势,成交量开始明显放大,此时是追涨的最佳时机。有经验的投资者已找出规律,即某只个股长时间在某个价位区域盘整时,而且成交量有异常放大,这类股票很可能为庄家机构所关注。因此,投资者要密切注意庄家的动作,进行相应的追涨。在追涨个股时,投资者还应该分析其题材的真实性与可靠性,还要分析其题材的价值。

        3.跟庄

        跟庄也是投资者在牛市中的一项重要投资手段。当然,散户跟庄要有一定的技巧,否则不但不能获利还有可能被庄家吞噬。这就要求散户把握一定的跟庄技巧,理解庄家的意图,分析基本面的环境,政策面对股市的态度,消息面对股市的影响。把握好大势,才能在跟庄过程中游刃有余。另外,还要选择跟庄的时机,一般来说,选择以个股在低价位盘整时间较长,突然向上突破时最好,而跟庄的个股则以题材具有独特性、实质性为好。

        4.换股

        投资者既然已经决定换股,其主要利润就要在新换的股票上去获得。因此,换股时要求眼明手快,看准了果断下单。

        5.守仓

        通俗地讲就是抱着股票不动,直至最终获利了结。守仓也是一种牛市中的投资策略,在这个过程中,要求投资者做到:找准市场热点;保持坚定信念;要有投资眼光,能够选择一种好的股票;要有良好的心态,不能轻易改变主意。

        牛市虽然有较大的获利机会和获利空间,但并不是说在牛市投资就一定能获利。除了要掌握好几种牛市投资策略外,投资者还要能够运用各种分析手段和工具对市场和个股进行分析,从而正确进行投资。另外,在牛市中投资者应重点锁定龙头股、超强势股和成交量密集的股票进行投资。

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