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    2.  首页 股票学校 股票入门 选股 买入 看盘 跟庄 短线 炒股技巧 技术指标 k线图 MACD 均线 成交量 股票书籍 股票视频 网站导航

      767股票学习网 > 股票学校 > 技术指标 > 正文

      运用威廉指标判断短线买卖点(图解)

        威廉指标(W&R)又称为威廉超买超卖指数,它与随机摆动指标(KDJ)相似,也是一种分析市场短期内超买超卖情况的摆动类指标。威廉指标是一个波动性很强的短线指标,它可以帮助投资者在震荡行情中较为准确地进行高抛低吸操作。

        威廉指标的设计原理

        威廉指标的设计原理很简单,它从研究价位波幅出发,通过一段时间内的高低价位与收盘价之间的关系,来研判多空力量的变化情况,其计算公式为:W&R=[(N日内的最高价一当日收盘价)÷(N日内的最高价-N日内的最低价)] xl00。一般来说,其计算周期往往包括分别独立的两个:一个为10个交易日,另一个为6个交易日。

        所计算出来的W&R指标数值表明了当天的收盘价在过去的这一时间周期内所处的相对位置区,如果W&R指标的数值比较大,则当天的价格处在相对较低的位置,此时应注意个股的反弹上涨走势的出现;如果W&R指标的数值较小,则当天的价格处在相对较高的位置,此时应注意个股的回调下跌走势的出现。

        运用威廉指标判断短线买卖点

        在实盘操作中,主要是通过威廉数值的大小来作为研判价格走势的依据,通过计算公式可以知道,威廉指标的数值在0~100之间。一般来说,将数值50当作多空双方的平衡线,当威廉指标值在50附近波动时,说明多空双方交锋较为缓和,市场的走势较为稳定,此时,投资者可以依据价格的总体运行趋势而展开操作。把W&R指标数值80以上视作超卖区,此时,市场短期内的空方力量处于释放过度状态,是短线买入的机会;把W&R指标数值20以下视作超买区,此时,市场短期内的多方力量处于释放过度状态,是短线卖出的机会。下面,结合实例来介绍如何利用威廉指标值来进行实盘操作。

        图16-1为中国石化(600028) 2009年4月9日至9月7日期间走势图,在威廉指标窗口中,用虚线标注出了数值20所在位置区,如图所示,此股在一波快速上涨后,W&R指标线开始向下跌至20以下,这是市场短期内处于超买状态的表现,因而,可以做好逢高卖股的准备。在实盘操作中,不必在W&R指标线刚刚向下跌至20下方时就急于卖出,因为一是这时个股的阶段性上涨走势往往并不明显;二是W&R指标的波动性较大,如果在其刚刚跌至20下方时就卖出,很容易错过短期内的上涨走势。因而,在实盘操作中,可以等个股出现了一波明显的上涨后,且W&R指标二次探底至20下方时,再卖出个股。

      运用威廉指标

        图16-2为保税科技(600794) 2008年12月23日至2009年8月19日期间走势图,在威廉指标窗口中,用虚线标注出了数值20所在位置区,如图中箭头标注所示,此股在一波快速上涨走势中,可以看到,W&R指标线开始跌至数值20的下方,且出现的二次探底的形态,而这种二次探底正好出现在它一波快速上涨走势后高位区。此时就是短期内卖出此股的好时机,因为,W&R指标线的这种运行形态说明此股目前正处于超买状态,是其一波回调走势即将展开的信号。

      威廉指标运用

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